Times change. Sometimes old ideas become new again. A long time ago
I learned that most public transportation converges at a central point –
the inner city. In contrast, suburban shoppers have always been
dependent on automobiles. They have little choice; with no true town
center distances traveled to shopping centers can be great. In the
suburbs public transportation is scant and not convenient.
The 1970-80’s saw urban flight and suburban shopping centers sprung
up everywhere in response to the trend. People wanted more space and
the convenience of cars made it easy to shop and transport purchases
without lugging bags on buses, trains, and subways. Now, there is a
definite trend among young people – to return to the city. The city
offers more job opportunities, more lifestyle entertainment choices, and
more shopping options.
After decades of building suburban stores, many
major retail companies are refocusing expansion plans to include
locations like downtown Newark, Detroit and Chicago.
A study by Jones Lang LaSalle, a multifamily investment and
management company, estimates that home purchases by people under 44
years of age is down 66%. The reason: they cannot afford home
ownership. Moreover, renting provides greater financial flexibility.
The notion that owning a home was a sure way to build a nest egg is no
longer perceived as valid.
Today many people are not secure enough in their jobs and
are unwilling to live with a lot of debt even if they can get a
mortgage. Lifestyle is also swaying the own versus rent decision. The
choice for these young people is to live in far away suburban areas; or
to live in urban areas where working couples can manage their time
better and be closer to their children when at work.
There are many examples of retailers responding to this shift in
consumer mindset. Nordstrom’s Rack, positioned to appeal to youthful
demand for fashion at an affordable price, is opening stores in many
urban locations such as Columbus, Cleveland, Milwaukee, Chicago,
Seattle, New York, Boston, Birmingham, and Washington D.C. Whole
Foods, specifically noting the change, has announced plans to open
stores in midtown Detroit, Chicago’s South Side and Newark. Both
Walmart and Target are expanding into more downtown locations with
smaller store formats.
Retail real estate investment trusts (REIT’s) like Federal Realty are
also acting on such demographic changes. Federal Realty is developing a
huge commercial complex with adjoining apartment buildings called
Assembly Square near downtown Boston (3.5 miles from the city center).
This new complex will be accessible to city dwellers via a short ride on
the MTA. Federal Realty is also developing a mixed use center
(residences, offices and stores) in Rockville, MD, called Pike &
Rose that is located near the District of Columbia Metro transit system.
Urban shoppers haven different needs than the suburban variety.
Opening stores in the central business districts requires retailers to
reconsider their merchandise assortment. In its city stores Home Depot
suddenly found demands for shorter ladders, smaller grills, and smaller
cans of paint as well as many other items that apartment dwellers
prefer. Food retailers have also found it necessary to adjust to city
life – some large size containers just do not fit in a small
refrigerator. The Internet also plays an important role in an urban
retail strategy by offering the convenience of delivery and allowing
consumers with non-traditional jobs to shop at all hours of the day and
night.
Times have changed. The future holds many promises as well as great
uncertainties. The young generation has spending power and holds the
future in their hands. But they have different priorities. They want
to live for the moment in a comfortable and flexible environment and
that increasingly means in cities. Smart retailers are following their
lead.
www.forbes.com
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