These Two Charts Bust The Myth Of The Bernanke Stock Market Bubble
Earlier today the Dow industrials notched an all-time intraday high
and now seem poised to exceed their record closing level of 14165 from
October 2007. A record-setting stock market and an anemic economy? How
does that make sense? Clearly Wall Street is all hopped up on “Fed
steroids” rather than fundamentals, says USA Today.
Maybe not. Economist Mike Darda of MKM Partners notes that to reach a
new high in inflation-adjusted terms, the Dow Jones industrial average
would have to rise to 15,397.5, about 8% above its current level.
More importantly, the Dow hasn’t “really climbed much relative to two
important nominal aggregates: profits and the money stock,” as the next
two charts show:
He also notes there’s been ”a very tight linkage” between jobless
claims and stock prices, showing the market is keying off fundamentals.
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